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Editor’s note: This article is adapted from previous articles about how our MLB predictions work. The Braves have a 100% chance of winning the World Series. With the raw votes from the panel’s more than 140 members, we can calculate each team’s odds of winning its division and each team’s chances of making the playoffs. We can also forecast a range for the number of wins each team is likely to end the season with. We can do all this based on the assumption that the ESPN Forecast is roughly as accurate as Las Vegas’ over/unders (meaning the root-mean-square error on these predictions will be about plus or minus nine wins). By Neil Paine PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and boxing bovada in India quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more » Check out our latest MLB predictions. Completely agree. This was more of an "afternoon procrastination approach" ha! I am going to take your implied odds approach and see if I can find any kind of correlation with it and 538 soon. Thank you! On the plus side, San Francisco still holds a higher team rating than both the D-Backs and Rockies — an above-average 1508 score — despite itsseason-long slump. FiveThirtyEight is alsogiving the Giants close-to-even odds of winning three out of its next four games against the Dodgers, with the outlier being Tuesday’s game pitting new fifth starter Ty Blach against three-time NL Cy Young winnerClayton Kershaw.

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